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"Easter 2026: Hospitality Sector Forecasts Best Bank Holiday Trading Since 2019"

"Easter 2026: Hospitality Sector Forecasts Best Bank Holiday Trading Since 2019"
Photo: Abby Chung via Pexels

Easter weekend represents one of the most commercially significant trading periods in the hospitality calendar — four days of bank holiday, high consumer discretionary spending and, in a good year, the first weekend warm enough to make outdoor dining and destination hospitality genuinely viable. The signs for Easter 2026 are, by most measures, positive.

Booking data compiled from several of the UK's major reservation platforms shows advance restaurant bookings for the Easter weekend running 12–18% ahead of the equivalent period in 2025, with the strongest performance in the full-service restaurant and gastropub categories. Saturday dinner and Sunday lunch — traditionally the two busiest sittings of the Easter weekend — are fully booked at the majority of operators who responded to The Mise's pre-Easter survey. Several London operators report waiting lists for the first time since the post-COVID bounce of 2022.

"We sold out Good Friday dinner in 48 hours of opening the booking window," said the owner of a well-regarded neighbourhood restaurant in south London. "Easter has been our best bank holiday for two years running. This year feels even stronger."

Hotels: Minimum Stays and Premium Pricing

The hotel picture is similarly encouraging. STR data for the Easter period shows UK hotel occupancy running ahead of last year across all major markets, with London, Edinburgh and the Cotswolds recording the strongest year-on-year improvement. Several destination properties — country house hotels, coastal retreats and city centre luxury properties with strong leisure identities — have moved to two and three-night minimum stay requirements for the bank holiday weekend, a practice that had largely disappeared during the slower post-COVID period but is returning as demand strengthens.

Average daily rate for UK hotels over the Easter weekend is projected to run approximately 8% above last year's equivalent period, reflecting both the demand uplift and the price increases that operators have been gradually implementing to offset cost pressures.

The staycation tailwind that benefited UK domestic hospitality during the travel disruption years of 2020–2022 has moderated as international travel returned, but the consumer behaviour shift toward valuing domestic short breaks — particularly among the 35–55 demographic with disposable income and limited school holiday flexibility — appears to have retained more permanence than some forecasters expected.

What Operators Are Doing to Maximise the Weekend

The operators performing best over the Easter period, based on conversations with The Mise, share several practices. Pre-set Easter menus with a higher minimum spend than the standard à la carte are near-universal among full-service restaurants — a practice that increases revenue per cover and reduces kitchen complexity simultaneously. Several operators have extended their Good Friday and Easter Sunday trading hours, adding early lunch sittings to capture the family dining trade that the school holidays generate.

Staffing has been a pressure point. The Easter bank holiday falls across a period when casual staff availability is lower than usual — universities and schools are on break, but the hospitality industry's reliance on student and part-time labour means this cuts both ways. Operators who pre-confirmed their Easter rotas in February report fewer last-minute scrambles; those who left staffing decisions late have faced the premium rates that late cover requests attract.

The weather forecast for the Easter weekend is, at time of writing, cautiously optimistic — which for UK hospitality, where outdoor capacity can swing a week's revenue by 15–20%, is not a trivial variable.

The Bigger Picture

The Easter uplift is welcome but needs to be contextualised against the year as a whole. The sector is heading into the spring and summer trading season from a position where margins are tight, the April National Living Wage increase is hitting payrolls this week, and consumer confidence, while improving, has not fully recovered the discretionary spending confidence of the pre-2022 period.

A strong Easter does not resolve those structural pressures. What it does is provide the cash flow and the operational momentum that makes the following months more manageable. For many hospitality businesses, Easter weekend is the first real test of whether 2026 is going to be a year of recovery or another year of survival. The early evidence suggests the former is at least possible.